XRP’s 2025 Surge Mirrors 2017 Price Action, Suggesting a Potential 100% Rally Against Bitcoin by March

XRP has experienced a remarkable surge in 2025, with its price up more than 350% against Bitcoin since the US presidential election in November. This price action closely mirrors the patterns seen in 2017, when XRP recorded an explosive 2,500% rally after breaking an eight-year downtrend. Given these similarities, technical indicators and emerging fundamentals suggest that XRP may be poised for another substantial rally, potentially doubling in value against Bitcoin by March.

XRP/BTC Surge: A Familiar Fractal from 2017

The performance of XRP against Bitcoin (XRP/BTC) in early 2025 has drawn comparisons to its behavior in 2017, a year that saw the altcoin break free from a prolonged downtrend and skyrocket in value. The XRP/BTC pair has gained nearly 32% in January alone, surpassing key resistance levels and entering the overbought territory according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Such RSI readings above 70 typically signal that a market consolidation or correction may follow, but in some cases, strong market fundamentals can propel prices even higher.

In 2017, when XRP’s RSI surged above the 70 threshold, the market didn’t immediately correct. Instead, fueled by the ICO boom and widespread euphoria, XRP went on to achieve a stunning 2,500% rally against Bitcoin. The current technical setup for XRP/BTC suggests a similar possibility, with some analysts predicting that XRP could see further significant gains in the coming months.

Emerging Fundamentals Point to a Strong Bullish Case

While the fundamentals in 2025 are different from those in 2017, they remain supportive of XRP’s bullish outlook. A key factor is the potential resolution of the ongoing legal battle between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Should the case be resolved favorably under the Trump administration, it could open the door for the approval of XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US.

JPMorgan analysts estimate that the launch of XRP ETFs could bring between $4 billion and $8 billion in capital inflows, which would significantly bolster the asset’s price. Additionally, Ripple has announced the launch of RLUSD, a stablecoin designed to enhance liquidity within the XRP Ledger (XRPL) ecosystem. The introduction of RLUSD adds utility to XRP, making it an even more attractive asset for investors and users alike.

These emerging fundamentals, combined with the ongoing technical strength of XRP/BTC, suggest that the current rally may have further to run, even if the market enters overbought territory.

Technical Indicators Suggest 100% Gains for XRP/BTC

From a technical perspective, the path forward for XRP/BTC looks promising. If the bullish trend continues, the next upside target for XRP will likely be its 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with the 6,471 satoshi mark (1 satoshi = 0.00000001 BTC). This target represents a potential 100% gain from current price levels.

In addition, XRP/BTC has broken out of an eight-year symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish trend. This breakout, combined with the similarities to the 2017 price action and the supportive fundamentals, reinforces the case for a significant rally in the coming months.

Risk of Rejection at Key Resistance Levels

However, the rally is not without risks. XRP’s inability to break above its current resistance zone—defined by the 1,950-3,550 satoshi range—could invalidate the bullish setup. A failure to surpass this resistance level may result in a price consolidation or a pullback, which could delay or reverse the current bullish momentum.

Conclusion: XRP/BTC Could Double by March

The technical and fundamental factors aligning in favor of XRP suggest a strong possibility of continued gains against Bitcoin. With the XRP/BTC pair already up 32% in January, the price action mirrors that of 2017, when XRP exploded in value. If this fractal repeats, XRP could see a 100% rally against Bitcoin by March 2025, potentially taking it to new heights.

While there are risks associated with breaking through resistance levels, the favorable fundamentals—such as the resolution of the SEC lawsuit, the potential launch of XRP ETFs, and the growth of the XRPL ecosystem—suggest that XRP may have enough momentum to continue its ascent. Traders and investors will be closely watching XRP’s price action in the coming weeks to see if history repeats itself and if another explosive rally is on the horizon.