The Best is Yet to Come for Bitcoin? Top Analyst Predicts Bull Market Peak in October 2025

Bitcoin’s current bull run has captured global attention, with the cryptocurrency recently reaching new all-time highs. However, according to popular crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin’s bull market might just be getting started, with the best gains expected to come by October 2025. While some speculators predict a peak as soon as early 2025, Rekt Capital’s detailed analysis suggests a slower, more steady rise toward what could be the largest surge in Bitcoin’s price history.

Unprecedented Trends and Speculations Surrounding Bitcoin’s Bull Season

With Bitcoin’s rapid ascent, analysts and investors are speculating about the timing and size of this cycle’s peak. Unlike past bull runs, this one has seen Bitcoin breaking records before its halving—a phenomenon that has many wondering if the digital asset will chart a unique course this time around. While some market participants believe Bitcoin might complete its bull run by January 2025, others, like Rekt Capital, argue that the asset’s performance will follow historical patterns from the cycles in 2016 and 2020, where Bitcoin topped out well after the halving.

The Historical Halving Cycle and Bitcoin’s Potential 2025 Peak

According to Rekt Capital’s research, the Bitcoin bull run’s “peak” date is estimated based on previous cycles that show a clear pattern linked to Bitcoin’s halving events. The halving, a scheduled reduction in Bitcoin mining rewards that occurs roughly every four years, has historically acted as a catalyst for Bitcoin’s bull runs. Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin tends to bottom out roughly 500 days before a halving and then tops out around 500 days afterward.

In his recent tweet, Rekt Capital analyzed data from the 2016 and 2020-2021 cycles:

• In 2016, Bitcoin hit its cycle top 518 days after the halving event.

• In the 2020-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 549 days after the halving.

Following this historical pattern, the analyst has forecasted that Bitcoin’s current bull market could reach its peak around October 2025, approximately 549 days after the most recent halving in April 2024. This analysis is based on the principle that halving events effectively mirror market movements, with Bitcoin’s price hitting bear market bottoms and bull market tops at similar intervals before and after the halving event.

Current Bull Market Progress: Are We Only at 50%?

Bitcoin’s parabolic rise has many investors wondering if it’s time to take profits, especially with BTC hovering around $90,000. However, Rekt Capital argues that the current bull market is still only halfway through, estimating that BTC’s progress sits at around 50%. He pointed out that Bitcoin’s recent rally to $84,000 represented just 47.8% of its potential peak, suggesting that this cycle has a lot more room to grow.

While Bitcoin is experiencing some resistance around $90,000, Rekt Capital’s strategy suggests that the current market phase is still in the early stages of a parabolic growth cycle. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has surged into “price discovery”—a period of rapid upward movement with little prior resistance—before reaching its final peak. According to the analyst, Bitcoin has only just entered its price discovery phase in this cycle, and there could be more weeks or even months of upside left before any significant pullback.

Bitcoin’s Cyclic Patterns and Price Discovery Phase

Rekt Capital’s outlook is also influenced by previous bull markets, where Bitcoin experienced a period of extended upside in price discovery before any major correction. In the 2017 cycle, for instance, Bitcoin saw eight consecutive weeks of upward movement before undergoing a correction. Similarly, in 2021, Bitcoin rallied for four weeks in price discovery before facing a deep retracement.

So far in this cycle, Bitcoin has only been in price discovery for a single week, which implies there could be additional upside in the coming weeks. With Bitcoin now in a parabolic phase, Rekt Capital anticipates several days or weeks of price discovery before the cryptocurrency experiences a notable correction. If Bitcoin follows the historical trends of previous cycles, investors may see continued gains before the asset consolidates.

Factors Driving Bitcoin’s Extended Bull Run: Demand, Institutional Interest, and Macroeconomic Climate

The driving factors behind Bitcoin’s current trajectory are varied, including increased retail and institutional interest, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and rising demand for digital assets. Many investors view Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, which could add further momentum to the cryptocurrency’s rise in value. With Bitcoin becoming increasingly accepted in traditional finance, large institutional investors, corporations, and even governments are showing interest in incorporating Bitcoin as a reserve asset, which may drive prices higher.

Furthermore, the renewed focus on spot Bitcoin ETFs has boosted demand, as these financial products make it easier for retail and institutional investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin. The approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. could potentially attract trillions of dollars into the crypto market, further supporting Rekt Capital’s prediction that Bitcoin’s bull run will last well into 2025.

Revised Strategies and Expectations for Bitcoin Investors

For investors considering Bitcoin as a long-term asset, Rekt Capital’s analysis provides a compelling case for holding through potential corrections in anticipation of the October 2025 peak. While many traders may feel tempted to take profits at current levels, those aligned with the analyst’s outlook may choose to maintain their positions, betting on a larger potential upside over the next year and a half.

The cyclical nature of Bitcoin’s price movements suggests that while corrections may occur, the asset’s overall trend remains upward, with the next 18 months potentially offering substantial returns for long-term holders. However, investors should also remain cautious, as cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile, and Bitcoin’s performance is influenced by a multitude of unpredictable factors, including regulatory developments and global economic shifts.

Conclusion: Bitcoin’s Future Path Shaped by Historical Cycles

The idea that Bitcoin will reach its peak in October 2025 is rooted in the asset’s historical behavior and established patterns. While no prediction can be guaranteed, Rekt Capital’s analysis provides a detailed roadmap for understanding Bitcoin’s current cycle and where it might lead.

As we move closer to 2025, Bitcoin’s journey will continue to be shaped by both market sentiment and real-world events, making it an asset to watch closely. With the convergence of retail and institutional interest, favorable macroeconomic conditions, and evolving regulatory landscapes, Bitcoin’s best days might indeed be on the horizon, promising further excitement and potential gains for investors.

Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and investors should conduct thorough research and consider their financial goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.